Bury vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1927 |
BCF
1 - 2
DER
62%
21%
18%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1927 |
SHE
2 - 0
BCF
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1927 |
BCF
3 - 2
ARS
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1927 |
LEI
1 - 1
BCF
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1927 |
LIV
2 - 2
BCF
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1927 |
TOT
0 - 4
ARS
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1927 |
BCF
3 - 2
ARS
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1927 |
ARS
3 - 0
BIR
56%
22%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1927 |
BBU
1 - 2
ARS
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1927 |
CAR
1 - 0
ARS
49%
23%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |