Bury vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
EXE
0 - 0
BCF
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
BCF
1 - 0
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
WYC
2 - 1
BCF
54%
26%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
STF
1 - 0
BCF
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
BCF
2 - 2
DAR
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2009 |
ALD
2 - 2
NOT
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
ALD
1 - 1
MAC
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
ALD
1 - 2
DAG
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 3
ALD
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
ALD
2 - 2
GRI
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |