Championship Round 21

Burton Swifts vs Darwen FC analysis

Burton Swifts Darwen FC
57 ELO 60
14% Tilt 17.6%
35946º General ELO ranking 26540º
1234º Country ELO ranking 1138º
ELO win probability
33.7%
Burton Swifts
23%
Draw
43.2%
Darwen FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
Burton Swifts
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
43.2%
Win probability
Darwen FC
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Burton Swifts
Darwen FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Burton Swifts
Burton Swifts
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 1898
GRI
Grimsby Town
7 - 2
Burton Swifts
BUR
71%
16%
12%
56 70 14 0
29 Jan. 1898
LIN
Lincoln City
3 - 0
Burton Swifts
BUR
30%
23%
47%
58 50 8 -2
15 Jan. 1898
BUR
Burton Swifts
1 - 2
Arsenal
ARS
28%
22%
50%
58 68 10 0
08 Jan. 1898
BUR
Burton Swifts
1 - 1
Lincoln City
LIN
65%
18%
17%
58 50 8 0
01 Jan. 1898
MUD
Manchester United
4 - 0
Burton Swifts
BUR
68%
18%
14%
59 71 12 -1

Matches

Darwen FC
Darwen FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 1898
DAR
Darwen FC
1 - 2
Walsall
WAL
62%
19%
20%
62 60 2 0
05 Feb. 1898
LEI
Leicester
0 - 1
Darwen FC
DAR
62%
20%
18%
61 69 8 +1
15 Jan. 1898
NEW
Newcastle
1 - 0
Darwen FC
DAR
66%
18%
16%
61 72 11 0
08 Jan. 1898
LOU
Loughborough
0 - 1
Darwen FC
DAR
42%
21%
37%
61 59 2 0
01 Jan. 1898
DAR
Darwen FC
2 - 4
Gainsborough Trinity
GAI
66%
18%
16%
62 61 1 -1