Burscough vs Matlock Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burscough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
BUR
3 - 2
GUI
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
PRE
1 - 3
BUR
35%
25%
41%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
BUR
3 - 3
WAK
75%
16%
10%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 1
WIT
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
WHI
1 - 4
BUR
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Matlock Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
WHI
3 - 2
MAT
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
MAT
1 - 1
HYD
34%
25%
41%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
WAK
1 - 2
MAT
24%
23%
52%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
MAT
2 - 3
SPE
35%
25%
41%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
FRI
1 - 5
MAT
30%
25%
45%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |