Burscough vs AFC Emley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burscough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
BUR
4 - 1
WAR
22%
23%
56%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
OSS
1 - 1
BUR
51%
23%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
KEN
2 - 1
BUR
64%
18%
18%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BUR
1 - 2
LAN
28%
24%
48%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SPE
1 - 1
BUR
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Emley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
AFC
7 - 1
PAR
77%
15%
9%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 3
BRI
24%
23%
53%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
OSS
3 - 0
AFC
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
AFC
3 - 2
WIG
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1998 |
ROT
3 - 1
AFC
83%
11%
6%
|
28 | 56 | 28 | -9 |