Burreli vs Pogradeci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
41.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burreli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
ILI
2 - 2
BUR
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 0
DIN
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 0
BES
37%
30%
33%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
TER
1 - 1
BUR
64%
22%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BUR
2 - 1
ELB
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Pogradeci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
POG
2 - 1
TER
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ELB
1 - 2
POG
41%
24%
35%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
POG
1 - 1
BUT
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ADA
2 - 0
POG
30%
24%
45%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
POG
1 - 1
LUS
40%
29%
32%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |