Burnley vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2020 |
MAC
5 - 0
BUR
85%
11%
4%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BUR
1 - 1
TOT
25%
24%
51%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
NEW
0 - 0
BUR
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BUR
3 - 0
BOU
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 2
BUR
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
WAT
1 - 1
LEI
25%
24%
51%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CRY
1 - 0
WAT
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
WAT
3 - 0
LIV
9%
17%
75%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MUD
3 - 0
WAT
68%
21%
12%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BHA
1 - 1
WAT
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |