Burnley vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1953 |
PNE
2 - 1
BUR
66%
18%
15%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1953 |
ASV
2 - 0
BUR
60%
21%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1953 |
BUR
2 - 2
PNE
42%
25%
34%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1953 |
BUR
0 - 1
BOL
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1953 |
OPA
2 - 1
BUR
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1953 |
SUN
2 - 0
BOL
55%
22%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1953 |
SUN
2 - 2
PNE
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1953 |
BOL
5 - 0
SUN
52%
22%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1953 |
STO
3 - 0
SUN
43%
24%
34%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1953 |
SUN
3 - 3
MAC
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |