Burnley vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1960 |
BUR
1 - 3
MAC
66%
18%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1960 |
NEW
0 - 1
BUR
54%
21%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1960 |
MAC
2 - 1
BUR
48%
22%
30%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1960 |
BUR
3 - 2
ARS
65%
18%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1960 |
BUR
2 - 2
WOL
57%
20%
23%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1960 |
SHW
2 - 0
CAR
75%
15%
11%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1960 |
CAR
2 - 0
PNE
37%
24%
40%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1960 |
CAR
0 - 1
SHW
36%
23%
41%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1960 |
FUL
2 - 2
CAR
74%
15%
11%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1960 |
CAR
2 - 2
BRO
58%
20%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |