Burlingame Dragons vs Golden State Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
58.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burlingame Dragons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2017 |
BDR
0 - 2
FRE
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
BDR
1 - 4
VEN
50%
24%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
BDR
2 - 3
SEA
82%
12%
6%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
GSF
0 - 0
BDR
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
OCB
0 - 2
BDR
8%
14%
78%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Golden State Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
GSF
3 - 2
OCB
89%
9%
3%
|
50 | 16 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
GSF
0 - 0
BDR
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
GSF
2 - 1
VEN
68%
18%
14%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
SCS
2 - 3
GSF
39%
25%
37%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2017 |
SDZ
1 - 2
GSF
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |