Burgos CF B vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos CF B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
BFC
1 - 1
BUR
73%
17%
11%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
BUR
1 - 1
BAS
47%
25%
29%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
ARE
1 - 0
BUR
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
BUR
2 - 0
SAB
48%
25%
27%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
LON
3 - 1
BUR
67%
20%
13%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
GER
2 - 0
CHA
59%
25%
17%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
GER
50%
29%
22%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
AUR
1 - 1
GER
41%
27%
32%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
GER
2 - 2
BFC
63%
23%
14%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
BAS
1 - 1
GER
63%
23%
15%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |