Burgos vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
18.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
GDE
1 - 2
BUR
47%
26%
26%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
BUR
2 - 1
MLL
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
BUR
1 - 0
REC
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
LEV
0 - 1
BUR
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1981 |
BUR
2 - 0
ALA
50%
29%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
RMC
2 - 2
MAL
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
ATB
0 - 0
RMC
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
CEL
1 - 2
RMC
73%
18%
10%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
RMC
1 - 2
DEP
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1981 |
SAB
3 - 0
RMC
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |