Burgos vs Lealtad Villaviciosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
TUD
0 - 0
BUR
62%
23%
15%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 0
CPC
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CDG
1 - 0
BUR
47%
27%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CEL
0 - 1
BUR
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
BUR
2 - 3
CUL
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LEA
3 - 1
CUL
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 1
LEA
42%
26%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LEA
0 - 1
SOM
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
PON
2 - 2
LEA
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LEA
1 - 0
SPB
51%
25%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |