Burgos vs Izarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
12.4%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
9.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1997 |
OSA
1 - 0
BUR
24%
28%
48%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1997 |
RSO
0 - 0
BUR
85%
11%
5%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1997 |
BUR
0 - 0
BAR
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
AUR
0 - 0
BUR
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
BUR
0 - 1
VAL
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Izarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1997 |
IZA
0 - 0
CUL
33%
29%
38%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1997 |
ELG
2 - 0
IZA
34%
29%
37%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 1997 |
IZA
1 - 2
RUN
41%
28%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
ZAM
1 - 0
IZA
46%
29%
26%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
IZA
2 - 3
ATH
28%
29%
44%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |