Burgos vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
16%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
CUL
0 - 0
BUR
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2001 |
BUR
0 - 1
AMU
60%
25%
16%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
BEA
0 - 2
BUR
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
BUR
2 - 0
PEÑ
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
BUR
1 - 0
BIN
68%
22%
11%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2001 |
GER
0 - 1
BIN
50%
28%
21%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
TRO
1 - 1
GER
21%
28%
51%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
GER
1 - 0
RAC
48%
27%
24%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
ATH
1 - 0
GER
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
GER
1 - 1
BAR
29%
30%
42%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |