Burgos vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
17.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
TAL
0 - 1
BUR
36%
31%
33%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
BUR
0 - 1
CUL
41%
29%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
MIR
0 - 0
BUR
41%
30%
30%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 3
ATB
40%
29%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
ZAM
3 - 1
BUR
43%
29%
29%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
CDT
0 - 1
MAJ
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
CFP
3 - 1
CDT
52%
26%
23%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
CDT
2 - 1
RMC
27%
28%
45%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
ALC
3 - 0
CDT
48%
28%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
CDT
0 - 1
ALC
37%
28%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |