Burgos vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
41.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
IZA
2 - 1
BUR
27%
29%
44%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
ALA
2 - 0
BUR
81%
16%
4%
|
48 | 81 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
BUR
3 - 0
PEÑ
73%
18%
9%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
RAC
1 - 0
BUR
72%
20%
9%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BUR
1 - 1
SPB
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ATH
1 - 1
SDA
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 1
ATH
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
ATH
1 - 0
CDV
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
LEI
1 - 0
ATH
32%
28%
41%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
IZA
2 - 2
ATH
18%
27%
55%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |