Burg vs Sparta Bremerhaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
72.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
HAB
3 - 4
BUR
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BUR
1 - 3
VAT
16%
18%
67%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SGA
9 - 0
BUR
90%
8%
2%
|
8 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
WER
9 - 1
BUR
94%
5%
2%
|
8 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
BUR
2 - 2
OST
45%
22%
34%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Bremerhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SPA
6 - 1
OST
84%
11%
5%
|
42 | 7 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 5
SPA
14%
19%
67%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SPA
0 - 0
BLU
71%
17%
13%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
BRE
1 - 0
SPA
63%
19%
18%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SPA
7 - 0
VFL
84%
11%
5%
|
42 | 10 | 32 | 0 |