Buochs vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
17.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
GOL
0 - 3
BUO
35%
23%
42%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BUO
4 - 2
LUZ
81%
12%
6%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
BUO
1 - 1
EMM
56%
22%
23%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
IBA
1 - 4
BUO
36%
24%
40%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BUO
2 - 1
GUN
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ASC
1 - 2
ESC
55%
22%
24%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
EMM
0 - 1
ASC
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ASC
1 - 0
FCB
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FCA
0 - 2
ASC
33%
24%
44%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
ASC
3 - 2
HER
33%
23%
44%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |