Bunyodkor vs Surkhon Termez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
10º
6º
23
8º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 57 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 57 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 55 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 53 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 52 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 49 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 38 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 36 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 32 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 29 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 29 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 29 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 20 |
16º
|
83% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
6% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 92.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bunyodkor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
SHO
0 - 2
BUN
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
BUN
2 - 2
NEF
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
ARS
1 - 2
BUN
32%
25%
42%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
YEN
1 - 1
BUN
36%
24%
40%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
HEB
0 - 0
BUN
26%
23%
51%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Surkhon Termez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
TER
0 - 2
XOR
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
QIZ
2 - 0
TER
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
TER
1 - 0
MET
49%
23%
28%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
TER
2 - 2
FCR
31%
25%
44%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
TER
1 - 3
HVI
36%
24%
40%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |