Big Bullets vs Kamuzu Barracks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Big Bullets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
BUL
3 - 0
CHU
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
DDY
0 - 1
BUL
44%
26%
30%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
BUL
7 - 0
SON
88%
8%
4%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
BUL
4 - 1
CSF
65%
18%
17%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
SIL
0 - 1
BUL
55%
24%
22%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kamuzu Barracks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2025 |
CSF
0 - 0
KAM
47%
23%
30%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
KAM
1 - 0
EKH
63%
21%
16%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
KAM
0 - 2
SIL
34%
29%
37%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
MAF
0 - 4
KAM
52%
25%
23%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
KAM
0 - 2
MOY
37%
28%
35%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |