U21 EC Qualifying . Jor. 1

Bulgaria U21 vs Serbia U21 analysis

Bulgaria U21 Serbia U21
54 ELO 67
-15.1% Tilt -8.6%
3407º General ELO ranking 2166º
33º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
18.9%
Bulgaria U21
24%
Draw
57.1%
Serbia U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
Bulgaria U21
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
57%
Win probability
Serbia U21
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bulgaria U21
-21%
-21%
Serbia U21

ELO progression

Bulgaria U21
Serbia U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bulgaria U21
Bulgaria U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2019
BGR
Bulgaria U21
0 - 0
Russia U21
RUS
12%
17%
71%
54 67 13 0
05 Sep. 2019
EST
Estonia U21
0 - 4
Bulgaria U21
BGR
18%
23%
59%
54 35 19 0
05 Jun. 2019
BGR
Bulgaria U21
0 - 0
Cyprus U21
CYP
63%
22%
16%
54 45 9 0
03 Jun. 2019
BGR
Bulgaria U21
1 - 1
Israel U21
ISR
22%
24%
54%
53 64 11 +1
25 Mar. 2019
FIN
Finland U21
0 - 1
Bulgaria U21
BGR
44%
26%
30%
53 54 1 0

Matches

Serbia U21
Serbia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2019
SRB
Serbia U21
1 - 1
Latvia U21
LVA
82%
14%
5%
67 42 25 0
06 Sep. 2019
RUS
Russia U21
1 - 0
Serbia U21
SRB
52%
24%
25%
68 66 2 -1
23 Jun. 2019
DNK
Denmark U21
2 - 0
Serbia U21
SRB
55%
22%
23%
68 67 1 0
20 Jun. 2019
DEU
Germany U21
6 - 1
Serbia U21
SRB
70%
18%
12%
69 81 12 -1
17 Jun. 2019
SRB
Serbia U21
0 - 2
Austria U21
AUT
48%
25%
27%
70 69 1 -1
X