Bulgaria U21 vs Belgium U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2003 |
EST
1 - 1
BGR
21%
21%
58%
|
65 | 33 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2002 |
ESP
7 - 1
BGR
76%
16%
9%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
BGR
1 - 3
HRV
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2002 |
BEL
3 - 1
BGR
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
CZE
8 - 0
BGR
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Belgium U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2003 |
NLD
3 - 0
BEL
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
HRV
1 - 1
BEL
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2002 |
EST
0 - 1
BEL
10%
19%
71%
|
68 | 34 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2002 |
BEL
3 - 1
BGR
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2002 |
BEL
0 - 2
FRA
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |