Nurafshon vs FC AGMK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
63.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nurafshon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
NUR
2 - 1
GIJ
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC AGMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
OLM
1 - 3
NAS
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BUX
2 - 0
OLM
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
DSA
1 - 1
OLM
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
OLM
1 - 1
BUN
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
SOG
1 - 0
OLM
30%
24%
46%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |