Nurafshon vs Mashal II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nurafshon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2016 |
PAK
0 - 0
NUR
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
NBU
2 - 1
NUR
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
NUR
1 - 0
XOR
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
NUR
1 - 0
ORO
58%
23%
20%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
NAR
1 - 0
NUR
48%
25%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mashal II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
MAS
2 - 1
LOK
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
HOT
4 - 2
MAS
45%
25%
31%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
FKK
1 - 2
MAS
48%
24%
27%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
MAS
0 - 2
DSA
17%
25%
58%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
MAS
0 - 3
FKZ
40%
27%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |