Buitenpost vs Quick '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
45.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
13º
13º
38
6º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buitenpost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
EXC
5 - 1
BUI
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BUI
1 - 1
SDV
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VVS
4 - 3
BUI
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BUI
1 - 2
ROH
20%
22%
58%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BEQ
2 - 2
BUI
59%
23%
18%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Quick '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
QUI
1 - 1
HEI
69%
16%
14%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PEL
1 - 1
QUI
25%
21%
54%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
QUI
0 - 0
MAS
62%
17%
21%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
QUI
4 - 3
AZS
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
VVS
2 - 1
QUI
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |