Buitenpost vs Heino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
37.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
13º
13º
34
11º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buitenpost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PEL
0 - 2
BUI
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BUI
1 - 1
MAS
32%
21%
47%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
QUI
1 - 1
BUI
76%
14%
10%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BUI
0 - 2
EXC
13%
21%
67%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SDV
0 - 0
BUI
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Heino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
AZS
1 - 0
HEI
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
HEI
5 - 0
PEL
41%
23%
37%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MAS
3 - 1
HEI
43%
22%
35%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
HEI
4 - 2
QUI
33%
22%
45%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
EXC
3 - 0
HEI
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |