Bugesera vs Gasogi United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
40.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bugesera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
RAY
3 - 1
BUG
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
BUG
3 - 1
ETI
34%
28%
38%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
MUS
3 - 1
BUG
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 1
BUG
39%
25%
35%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
BUG
0 - 1
ASK
40%
28%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Gasogi United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
GFC
3 - 2
RFC
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
MUK
1 - 1
GFC
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
GFC
32%
27%
41%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
GFC
1 - 0
KIY
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
MUH
0 - 4
GFC
24%
22%
55%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |