Bugesera vs Espoir FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bugesera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
KIY
5 - 2
BUG
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
BUG
1 - 0
MUK
29%
31%
40%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
POL
2 - 1
BUG
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
BUG
5 - 4
MUH
38%
27%
35%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
BUG
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Espoir FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
ESP
0 - 1
ASK
41%
29%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
APR
3 - 1
ESP
68%
20%
13%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
HFC
2 - 3
ESP
40%
25%
36%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ESP
3 - 2
GFC
28%
27%
45%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
GIC
2 - 1
ESP
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |