Bugesera vs AS Kigali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bugesera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ESP
0 - 0
BUG
36%
28%
37%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
BUG
1 - 0
POL
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
KIY
2 - 2
BUG
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BUG
1 - 1
APR
51%
26%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
BUG
2 - 0
ETI
49%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AS Kigali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
ASK
44%
28%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
ASK
1 - 0
SUN
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ASK
1 - 0
ESP
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
POL
3 - 0
ASK
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
ASK
1 - 2
KIY
48%
27%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |