Bufala vs Tiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
33.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bufala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MOP
5 - 0
BUF
77%
14%
10%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
BUF
6 - 3
ALE
52%
20%
28%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
BUF
1 - 4
CAB
45%
22%
33%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
BAD
4 - 2
BUF
68%
17%
15%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CAB
0 - 0
BUF
61%
19%
20%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
TIA
2 - 3
PRE
54%
21%
25%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
UBS
0 - 3
TIA
41%
21%
38%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TIA
3 - 0
PRE
46%
22%
33%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
TIA
1 - 5
SPG
31%
22%
46%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MOP
3 - 0
TIA
65%
18%
18%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |