Bufala vs Premià Dalt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bufala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
AMA
1 - 1
BUF
67%
18%
15%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BUF
3 - 6
LLA
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PIN
2 - 3
BUF
37%
24%
39%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BUF
2 - 0
AJU
55%
21%
23%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
CFL
1 - 2
BUF
44%
23%
33%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Premià Dalt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PDA
3 - 5
ARG
28%
23%
50%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
AMA
3 - 0
PDA
78%
14%
8%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
PDA
0 - 2
ALE
24%
22%
54%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LLA
2 - 1
PDA
54%
22%
24%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
PDA
0 - 4
NOU
53%
22%
25%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -2 |