Bufala vs L'Empenta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
22.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bufala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CAB
3 - 2
BUF
48%
22%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
PDA
1 - 1
BUF
41%
23%
36%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BUF
2 - 4
AMA
55%
21%
24%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
LLA
3 - 1
BUF
54%
21%
25%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
BUF
3 - 1
PIN
44%
22%
34%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
L'Empenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
EMP
0 - 1
AMA
27%
21%
51%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
LLA
2 - 1
EMP
78%
14%
9%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
EMP
1 - 3
PIN
37%
23%
41%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
AJU
0 - 1
EMP
28%
22%
50%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
EMP
3 - 1
CFL
46%
22%
32%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |