Bufala vs Callus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.1%
15.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bufala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BUF
1 - 0
BPA
40%
22%
39%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SGP
0 - 0
BUF
39%
21%
40%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
PRE
1 - 5
BUF
17%
18%
65%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BUF
7 - 3
ADR
62%
18%
20%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
PDA
5 - 4
BUF
61%
18%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Callus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CAL
3 - 1
JUV
58%
19%
23%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BPA
7 - 1
CAL
74%
15%
11%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BBV
2 - 3
CAL
61%
19%
21%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CAL
2 - 3
SGP
39%
21%
40%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 1
LOR
33%
21%
47%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |