Buenavista Castilla vs Lucero-Linces analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
54.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-81%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buenavista Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PKP
6 - 1
BVC
57%
21%
23%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BVC
3 - 2
FER
69%
17%
14%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
EFC
2 - 0
BVC
48%
23%
30%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
BVC
3 - 2
PIQ
39%
23%
38%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
PAA
1 - 3
BVC
36%
23%
42%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lucero-Linces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LUL
3 - 0
GIG
46%
23%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ADL
1 - 3
LUL
27%
23%
51%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LUL
0 - 2
LCB
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ALU
0 - 1
LUL
46%
23%
32%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LUL
4 - 1
SIL
62%
20%
19%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |