Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 1-3
Budućnost vs Trenčín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
62.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budućnost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
NAP
2 - 1
BUD
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
BUD
2 - 3
SUT
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
KOM
2 - 3
BUD
30%
31%
39%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
PET
2 - 1
BUD
26%
31%
43%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
BUD
3 - 1
DEC
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Trenčín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
FCR
1 - 1
TRE
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
BOH
5 - 1
TRE
24%
23%
52%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
SPA
1 - 2
TRE
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
TNV
0 - 2
TRE
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
TRE
3 - 1
RUZ
62%
21%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |