Buchbach vs Grossbardorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
FRO
0 - 2
BUC
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 1
BUC
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BUC
4 - 1
TSV
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
EIN
5 - 2
BUC
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
DJK
1 - 1
BUC
21%
22%
56%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Grossbardorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
GRO
2 - 2
DJK
65%
18%
17%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
GRO
0 - 4
GER
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
RAI
3 - 2
GRO
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ISM
1 - 2
GRO
68%
19%
14%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
ELT
4 - 0
GRO
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |