Bubali vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bubali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 4
BUB
47%
23%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
BUB
1 - 1
DAK
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
FAM
3 - 3
BUB
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BUB
6 - 0
SNI
73%
16%
10%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
DAK
0 - 1
BUB
56%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 2
BRI
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 3
NAC
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 1
RIV
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 1
DAK
51%
23%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 4
EST
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |