Oberliga Bremen Round 4

BTS Neustadt vs SV Hemelingen analysis

BTS Neustadt SV Hemelingen
38 ELO 51
5.1% Tilt 14.5%
6490º General ELO ranking 2616º
336º Country ELO ranking 109º
ELO win probability
8.8%
BTS Neustadt
14.2%
Draw
77%
SV Hemelingen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.8%
Win probability
BTS Neustadt
0.81
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
77%
Win probability
SV Hemelingen
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
BTS Neustadt
-27%
+18%
SV Hemelingen

Points and table prediction

BTS Neustadt
Their league position
SV Hemelingen
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
16º
10º
77
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SV Hemelingen
77
77
100%
Geestemünde
60
60
100%
OSC Bremerhaven
55
55
100%
Brinkumer SV
53
53
100%
Eiche Horn
51
51
100%
Blumenthaler SV
46
46
100%
Oberneuland
46
46
100%
Union Bremen
42
42
100%
SG Aumund-Vegesack
40
40
24.5%
BTS Neustadt
10º
38
39
10º
24.5%
Woltmershausen
11º
37
38
11º
70.5%
Werder Bremen III
12º
35
35
12º
100%
Habenhauser FV
13º
32
32
13º
100%
Vatan Sport
14º
31
31
14º
100%
TuRa Bremen
15º
31
31
15º
100%
Vahr-Blockdiek
16º
7
7
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
BTS Neustadt
SV Hemelingen
Promotion
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

BTS Neustadt
SV Hemelingen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

BTS Neustadt
BTS Neustadt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2024
EHB
Eiche Horn
3 - 3
BTS Neustadt
BTN
45%
20%
35%
36 35 1 0
24 Aug. 2024
BTN
BTS Neustadt
3 - 3
TuRa Bremen
TRB
45%
21%
34%
35 34 1 +1
18 Aug. 2024
BRI
Brinkumer SV
6 - 0
BTS Neustadt
BTN
29%
21%
50%
37 29 8 -2
23 Jul. 2024
VFL
VfL Bremen
4 - 4
BTS Neustadt
BTN
21%
20%
59%
37 26 11 0
11 May. 2024
BTN
BTS Neustadt
1 - 2
Werder Bremen II
WER
8%
14%
79%
38 60 22 -1

Matches

SV Hemelingen
SV Hemelingen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2024
SVH
SV Hemelingen
3 - 0
Vahr-Blockdiek
VAB
92%
6%
2%
51 29 22 0
24 Aug. 2024
SGA
SG Aumund-Vegesack
1 - 3
SV Hemelingen
SVH
18%
18%
64%
50 39 11 +1
18 Aug. 2024
SVH
SV Hemelingen
4 - 1
Geestemünde
GEE
82%
11%
7%
49 37 12 +1
11 May. 2024
SVH
SV Hemelingen
1 - 2
TuRa Bremen
TRB
90%
7%
3%
50 31 19 -1
02 May. 2024
WER
Werder Bremen II
4 - 3
SV Hemelingen
SVH
65%
18%
17%
50 58 8 0