BTS Neustadt vs Oberneuland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
76.4%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
7º
16º
7º
69
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BTS Neustadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SGA
1 - 2
BTN
75%
14%
10%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
WOL
3 - 0
BTN
78%
13%
9%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
BTN
3 - 3
UNI
26%
22%
53%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 0
BTN
85%
10%
6%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BTN
1 - 2
LEH
51%
22%
28%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Oberneuland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
OBE
5 - 2
UNI
74%
14%
11%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
LEH
3 - 4
OBE
10%
14%
77%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BSV
4 - 1
OBE
20%
20%
60%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
OBE
4 - 2
BSV
38%
23%
39%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
OBE
5 - 1
BRI
36%
21%
43%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |