Oberliga Bremen Round 19

BTS Neustadt vs Oberneuland analysis

BTS Neustadt Oberneuland
22 ELO 37
-3.9% Tilt 3.6%
6468º General ELO ranking 5371º
333º Country ELO ranking 262º
ELO win probability
9.6%
BTS Neustadt
13.9%
Draw
76.4%
Oberneuland

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
BTS Neustadt
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
76.4%
Win probability
Oberneuland
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
BTS Neustadt
-33%
-16%
Oberneuland

Points and table prediction

BTS Neustadt
Their league position
Oberneuland
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
16º
69
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Oberneuland
69
72
100%
SV Hemelingen
65
68
100%
SG Aumund-Vegesack
62
63
58%
OSC Bremerhaven
60
63
58%
Union Bremen
50
51
100%
Geestemünde
45
45
100%
BTS Neustadt
41
44
82%
Woltmershausen
39
40
67.5%
Vatan Sport
37
38
69.5%
Schwachhausen
10º
36
36
10º
84%
Brinkumer SV
12º
33
34
11º
34.5%
Blumenthaler SV
11º
34
34
12º
34.5%
Leher TS Bremerhaven
13º
28
28
13º
100%
TuS Komet Arsten
14º
24
25
14º
100%
TuSpo Surheide
15º
20
20
15º
100%
Werder Bremen III
16º
15
15
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
BTS Neustadt
Oberneuland
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

BTS Neustadt
Oberneuland
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

BTS Neustadt
BTS Neustadt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2023
SGA
SG Aumund-Vegesack
1 - 2
BTS Neustadt
BTN
75%
14%
10%
22 31 9 0
05 Feb. 2023
WOL
Woltmershausen
3 - 0
BTS Neustadt
BTN
78%
13%
9%
22 34 12 0
10 Dec. 2022
BTN
BTS Neustadt
3 - 3
Union Bremen
UNI
26%
22%
53%
22 28 6 0
03 Dec. 2022
BRI
Brinkumer SV
2 - 0
BTS Neustadt
BTN
85%
10%
6%
23 38 15 -1
26 Nov. 2022
BTN
BTS Neustadt
1 - 2
Leher TS Bremerhaven
LEH
51%
22%
28%
24 21 3 -1

Matches

Oberneuland
Oberneuland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2023
OBE
Oberneuland
5 - 2
Union Bremen
UNI
74%
14%
11%
36 27 9 0
05 Feb. 2023
LEH
Leher TS Bremerhaven
3 - 4
Oberneuland
OBE
10%
14%
77%
36 20 16 0
29 Jan. 2023
BSV
BSV Kickers Emden
4 - 1
Oberneuland
OBE
20%
20%
60%
37 28 9 -1
13 Jan. 2023
OBE
Oberneuland
4 - 2
BSV Rehden
BSV
38%
23%
39%
37 41 4 0
09 Dec. 2022
OBE
Oberneuland
5 - 1
Brinkumer SV
BRI
36%
21%
43%
35 38 3 +2