Mahlsdorf vs Hertha Zehlendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
61.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
4º
13º
4º
71
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 75% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 25% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mahlsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MAH
2 - 0
TUM
23%
21%
57%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NEU
2 - 0
MAH
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MAH
1 - 0
SCS
39%
23%
38%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MAH
1 - 1
SVS
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
BAB
4 - 0
MAH
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha Zehlendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
HZE
0 - 1
VIK
28%
24%
48%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
TEN
2 - 3
HZE
15%
18%
68%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
HZE
1 - 4
HER
5%
11%
85%
|
45 | 81 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 5
HZE
39%
24%
38%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
HZE
3 - 2
RSV
68%
17%
15%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |