Young Boys vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Young Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
YOB
3 - 1
LAU
74%
16%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
YOB
6 - 0
SIO
73%
17%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
YOB
5 - 2
GCZ
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
YOB
4 - 2
SER
67%
19%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
YOB
6 - 1
THU
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 0
CHI
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
LUG
3 - 0
FCV
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 2
BAS
21%
23%
55%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 5
YOB
23%
24%
54%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
STG
1 - 1
LUG
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |