Brusque vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
HER
3 - 2
BRU
40%
24%
36%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
BRU
0 - 1
JUV
58%
21%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
JUV
1 - 3
BRU
39%
24%
38%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
BRU
1 - 1
HER
53%
22%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
MET
4 - 2
BRU
40%
24%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
MET
1 - 2
JUV
53%
23%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
HER
1 - 0
MET
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
MET
2 - 1
HER
49%
23%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
JUV
1 - 0
MET
41%
24%
35%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
MET
4 - 2
BRU
40%
24%
36%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |