Brusque vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
1 - 2
BRU
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
XVO
0 - 3
BRU
20%
23%
58%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
BRU
2 - 0
TUB
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
BRU
1 - 0
IMB
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
JEC
2 - 0
BRU
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 1
MAR
72%
18%
10%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
XVO
0 - 6
MAR
30%
24%
47%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 1
POR
65%
20%
16%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
HER
0 - 0
MAR
40%
25%
36%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |