Brusque vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 0
BRU
47%
24%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BRU
0 - 3
HER
28%
25%
48%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
BRU
0 - 1
AVA
13%
20%
67%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CRI
3 - 0
BRU
69%
19%
13%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
BRU
0 - 1
CHA
20%
23%
56%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 5
AVA
12%
19%
69%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CRI
2 - 2
MAR
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
CHA
17%
22%
61%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MET
3 - 0
MAR
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
JEC
22%
23%
54%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |