Brusque vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
42%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MET
1 - 0
BRU
33%
24%
43%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BRU
3 - 1
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
IMB
1 - 2
BRU
28%
23%
50%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
BRU
1 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CRI
3 - 0
BRU
62%
20%
18%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
0 - 3
CHA
23%
22%
55%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
FFL
2 - 1
CHA
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
JEC
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MET
1 - 3
CHA
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |