Brown Adrogué vs Villa Dálmine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
BRO
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BRO
1 - 2
STM
76%
17%
7%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
AND
0 - 4
BRO
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
BRO
2 - 1
ACA
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 1
BRO
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Dálmine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
DAL
1 - 1
BAR
52%
27%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 1
DAL
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2013 |
DAL
2 - 0
DEF
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
EST
2 - 2
DAL
61%
23%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
DAL
3 - 1
STM
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |