Primera B Nacional Semi-finals
Brown Adrogué vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 1
BRO
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
BRO
0 - 0
RAF
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
BRO
1 - 0
SMA
48%
26%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 2
BRO
48%
27%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
BRO
3 - 0
RSA
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 1
BRO
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SAR
0 - 0
INS
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
BUC
0 - 1
SAR
34%
28%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 2
RAF
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 0
SAR
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |