Brown Adrogué vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
BRO
0 - 0
AGR
56%
25%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ARS
2 - 1
BRO
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
DAL
0 - 0
BRO
39%
29%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BRO
1 - 0
GIM
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
PLA
0 - 0
BRO
32%
29%
39%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
DEF
0 - 0
SAR
13%
25%
62%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
QUI
1 - 2
DEF
70%
21%
9%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
DEF
1 - 1
IRV
17%
29%
55%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 1
DEF
69%
22%
10%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
DEF
1 - 2
CHA
17%
26%
57%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |