Brive vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
1.9%
Win probability
0.11
Expected goals
2-0
0.1%
+2
0.1%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
0.2%
+1
1.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
0.1%
0
17.6%
80.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
26.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
29.2%
0-2
24%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0%
-2
25.7%
0-3
14.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
0.3%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brive
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
BRI
3 - 2
ASN
10%
19%
71%
|
34 | 71 | 37 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
BRI
1 - 1
LOR
7%
15%
78%
|
33 | 78 | 45 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
BRI
1 - 3
GIR
4%
16%
81%
|
34 | 86 | 52 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1994 |
BRI
2 - 4
MAR
11%
22%
68%
|
34 | 91 | 57 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
MAS
1 - 0
BRI
34%
24%
41%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
REN
0 - 2
AUX
37%
28%
35%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2004 |
NAN
0 - 0
AUX
39%
29%
32%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
AUX
5 - 0
GIR
47%
27%
26%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
AUX
2 - 0
MPL
61%
23%
16%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
STR
0 - 2
AUX
35%
28%
37%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |